منابع مشابه
Comparison of Small Area Estimation Methods for Estimating Unemployment Rate
Extended Abstract. In recent years, needs for small area estimations have been greatly increased for large surveys particularly household surveys in Sta­ tistical Centre of Iran (SCI), because of the costs and respondent burden. The lack of suitable auxiliary variables between two decennial housing and popula­ tion census is a challenge for SCI in using these methods. In general, the...
متن کاملExamining the Duration of Unemployment, Reasons for Leaving the Job and Staying in the Labor Market
Abstract. With the industrialization of societies, the issue of employment also faced changes. specially For women, with the increase in the level of education, their desire to do jobs that were exclusive to men in the past, has become a tendency to engage in social activities along with men. Men also try to enter the labor market as soon as possible due to family responsibilities and the duty...
متن کاملUnemployment Rate and Divorce
This study investigates whether shifts in the unemployment rate affect the divorce probability of married and cohabiting couples. Compared to the match quality shocks utilized in the existing literature, unemployment rate movements are plausibly exogenous and affect individuals through both actual as well as potential loss of a job. I find that a rise in the unemployment rate in the wife’s sect...
متن کاملForecasting the US unemployment rate
The primary interest of this paper is in out-of-sample forecasting for the U.S. monthly unemployment rate. Several linear unobserved components models are fitted and their comparative forecasting accuracy is assessed by means of and extensive rolling-origin procedure using a test period that covers the last two decades. An attempt is made to link forecasting performance to the time domain prope...
متن کاملMultivariate STAR Unemployment Rate Forecasts
In this paper we use smooth transition vector error-correction models (STVECMs) in a simulated out-of-sample forecasting experiment for the unemployment rates of the four non-Euro G-7 countries, the U.S., U.K., Canada, and Japan. In the forecasting analysis, pooled forecasts constructed by taking the median value across the point forecasts generated by the linear VECM and the STVECMs generally ...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Intereconomics
سال: 1988
ISSN: 0020-5346,1613-964X
DOI: 10.1007/bf02925127